If robots do most jobs how does man produce value?
Posted by terrycan 9 years, 1 month ago to Technology
I found this video interesting and disturbing. If robots do the majority of jobs. How does man produce value? My biggest fear would be government deciding where the resources were used. Humans may quickly become helpless without robots to do their basic needs. Normally I embrace and become excited about new technology. How do my fellow Gulchers feel about this?
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("Again, so many stories that illustrate how terrible people are at giving machines instructions.")
We "pay" for them all with cinema, entertainment, and music as well as the electronic media that deliver them. Them, and the roads, the jet aircraft (robotic with two humans for failsafes), and, of course, all of our computers that let us chat like this.
My point, though, is related to work that people can do, particularly in the software area. One person can create a program that the entire world can use. This is a level of effort leverage that is unprecedented in human history. It does limit the number of people who get to play in a particular sandbox.
As you say, there's lots of sand.
Google cars beat humans all day long, and they have only been driving 3 years, with one accident to their fault (I think). I get the Star Trek arguments and Asimov Laws, but Azimov's Laws work, and computers are not infinitely simpler than Vulcans, and people are not as cool as we'd like to think. Half of them would be 400 lbs and completely ignorant if fed well and taken care of.
The post was about whether man produces value. Values exist only in minds and not in products. Prices will vary depend upon the value judgments of individuals. Of Course Rand defined a noun 'value' as something that one acts to gain and or keep, which is a much wider concept which includes both tangible and intangible aspects of objective reality. But it remains that a value is a measurement in individual minds.
What are 'the majority jobs'?
This would go like Japan and Taiwan wiping out fat, lazy, unions with narcoleptic management in the US. If we'd listened to Deming, we'd have washed the floor with Japan; however...
A majority of people I've met are not going to "branch out and integrate" anything useful. Darwin may step in and we'll find those that do, but none...none...without grave incentives.
:)
Without work, how will we get the money to buy the fruit? Obviously we don't need it, we just pick it. We have no one to pay for the fruit.
Imagine, now, a world where the robots make everything we want, the robots make the robots. Some humans made the robots a long time ago but now no one does anymore. What do we need to pay them for the things they make?
Some things, like land, the robots can't make there is a limited quantity that has to be shared, but most other things no human has to work to create, so do we still pay for it?
People had to work from sun up to sun down, and even beyond with light sources just to eat prior to the industrial revolution.
Eventually the industrial revolution lead to the 40 hour work week after some testing by Henry Ford who determined it provided better results.
This in turn resulted in more time for education and leisure. For some people a bit more of the later and not enough spent on the earlier.
Right now I plan some time for my team to "Sharpen the saw" allowing for 1 in 8 hours of work to be spent on educating one self on a new technology or process and then sharing what you learn with the team. This has effectively shortened the work day to 7 hours, but with a requirement to educate self for 1 hour a day.
Technology is going to move faster in a robotic world, the result will be more time requirement for learning and less for doing out of the jobs that are still around, and the new ones that come up.
This trend is 100 years in the making so far, I do not see it changing but rather accelerating. It may evolve to where 2 hours of each day are spent doing the productive work and 8 hours keeping up with the new tech, mathematics, engineering, physics...
I see the division between those who use there mind and those who will not growing, but otherwise I see plenty of work coming for those who wish to think.
I'm not saying a future where no one works makes any sense, and like you say, the inability of people to pay for the goods and services is likely to be the limiting factor in how many jobs the machines can ultimately take over. (never minding a possible future where the machines have gotten to the point of not needing or wanting our money, and instead do what they do for their 'own enjoyment')
On your next point, I never gave opinion on if the world would be better one way or the other. Reread what I wrote, it isn't in there at all. Truth is that I personally feel the opposite of what you stated of me.
I do agree that you are sorry, but not for the reason you claim. I'll go ahead and use my vision of the future that you fail to recognize to continue to invent said future, as I have been doing for decades.
The US was not just populated with people of extraordinary skills, it was that the system allowed these people to benefit from their creativity. As a result the US was the most inventive and therefore the richest country in the history of the world.
You have confused cause and effect in AS.
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