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What do you all think of the Tea Party?

Posted by OH45458 12 years, 5 months ago to Politics
210 comments | Share | Best of... | Flag

As far as I can see, the liberals in the Democrat Party, and the spineless progressives in the Republican Party are leading this country down the economic road to oblivion. That being said, I am open to a new party that more closely matches my philosophy and desires, and will promote policies that will serve society rather than enslave it.

While I am not a member of the Tea Party movement, I sympathize with their intent, at least with what I perceive as their intent: that being smaller, less intrusive government, and a return to the founder's original intentions in this regard. However, my understanding is that this movement is just grass roots, with no real central national platform, and certainly with no vetting process for the candidates that it backs.

Can this movement be successful without organizing at the national level?

Is this movement viable? Will it become, like the GOP did just prior to the Civil War, the dominant party of the country?

Just interested in opinions...


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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    You know, BambiB, you are so funny it is hard to resist not laughing out loud. I've already converted chunks of this exchange to a PDF and emailed it to some of the folks I worked with in research. Only one has responded with his comments -- which I won't repeat since there is a chance he will want to join the gulch.

    Suffice it to say your attitude and unwillingness to see what is actually being said make you one of the funnier folks I have debated in a while.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    There is a significant difference between a research study (which includes methodology and data) and the conclusions drawn from the study - which may be characterized as "opinion". For example, in the NCEE study I've cited, the questions, the answers, the explanation of methodology, the description of the sample sizes and sample sources, the statistics generated based on the data are NOT opinion. Many of the conclusions drawn are not "opinion". For example, when the researchers establish a standard for an "A/B" level knowledge of economics, administer the test and find that 3 men meet the criteria for "A/B" for every woman, it is not "opinion". The conclusion that "men are more knowledgeable about economics" IS opinion - but the study itself is not. Any reputable study will provide all the data used to reach the "opinion" of the authors. But to say that, 'Every single research study ever written is an "opinion."' is flatly incorrect.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    *I* knew they were irrelevant. *YOU* were the one that said do the google search and report that you were right. You were wrong on both counts.

    As for finding "even ONE article that contradicts what [you've] been saying," what I found is that none of the *AGREED* with you -- and it was *YOU* who said I would.

    None of them discussed how women are economic morons. One (from USA Today, like *that* is a resource *anyone* would use to prove *anything*) had a few anecdotes and used unfounded references -- so it was not any help to your cause.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    As a member of the LDS Church, I (we) believe that truth can come from a variety of sources. Just because the individual who "discovered" the truth was not LDS, or not Christian -- or, indeed, of no religious affiliation at all, has no bearing on the validity of "truth." So I can happily quote AR, without any feeling of being hypocritical.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I see that this might be my fault for not recognizing that you never intended to introduce data that was relevant to the discussion. Since I have been extraordinarily clear that I was referring to the National fiscal policies that are destroying America, and the fact that women Nationwide are the prime drivers of those policies, I naturally thought that you intended to participate in THAT discussion.

    I did not realize you meant only to say, "In my little corner of the universe, which has no relevancy to the discussion at hand, there is a purely localized and limited exception to the general rule: I know a handful of women who may not meet the National trend and may be smarter than the males in my personal social group regarding economics".

    I accept responsibility for mistakenly believing that you had some intention to be relevant.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Fair enough.

    In this study, done for the National Council on Economic Education, the purpose was to determine what young people and adults knew about economics. The results in the Major Findings section speak for themselves.

    1) http://www.ncee.net/cel/WhatAmericansKno...
    "What American Teens & Adults Know About Economics"
    (Prepared for:The National Council on Economic Education)
    Major Findings
    "Males are more likely than females to get an “A” or “B” (adults: 51% vs. 17%; students: 12% vs. 6%)"
    "Females are more likely to get an “F” than males (adults: 42% vs. 15%; students: 67% vs. 54%)"

    Get that? Men are 3 times more likely to score an "A" or a "B". The women are 3 times more likely to score an "F".

    Here's a graphic: http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2006...

    Note, this isn't a "fluff" piece. It's not an opinion piece. They're not some guy saying, "I know a bunch of women who are stupid about economics." The NCEE study is a, "nationwide sample of 3,512 U.S. adults aged 18+ and 2,242 U.S. students in grades 9-12". This significantly trumps your sample of "some women I know" and your methodology of "I think they are smart about economics."

    Not to belabor the point, but you asked:

    2) http://www.scienpress.com/Upload/AMAE/Vo...
    Behavioral Biases in Economic and Financial Knowledge:
    Are They the Same for Men and Women?
    Andrey Kudryavtsev1 and Gil Cohen
    "[W]omen are more strongly affected by...hindsight and anchoring bias" regarding economic and financial knowledge.

    3)https://www.econstor.eu/dspace/bitstream/10419/67721/1/732597579.pdf
    What do people know about the economy? A test of minimal economic knowledge in Germany
    "We found a gender effect, revealing that women had less economic knowledge than men. However, the magnitude of the difference is nevertheless surprising, given that women participate in the economy today much more than in past decades." (Note: This deals with the deficient economic knowledge of women in GERMANY, so you may choose to disregard it as inapplicable to AMERICAN women's knowledge. But since cites have been made to the Weimar Republic for the proposition that men are equally stupid, I thought I'd include it.)

    4) "The Gender Gap of Economics:
    Why Do Men Think More Like Economists?
    Evidence from the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy"
    This isn't actually a different study, but rather is an attempt to explain the woefully deficient knowledge of women regarding economics as revealed in the NCEC study (#1 above)
    In relative part:
    "Male adults are more interested than female adults, who are more interested than male students, who are more interested than female students. These differences are highly statistically significant: ... groups' interest in and knowledge of economics line up: Male adults score higher than female adults, who score higher than male students, who score higher than female students.

    But why would differences in interests lead to an interaction effect between gender and education rather than a simple level effect? There is a logical explanation. The longer a student stays in school, at any level, the more opportunities he or she has to learn. Some learning opportunities come through formal classroom instruction; others are a byproduct of social interaction. In both cases, though, the probability that a person takes advantage of opportunities to learn about a particular subject depends on how interesting he or she finds the subject. Since men find economics more interesting than women do, the longer they stay in school, the greater the disparity in their knowledge becomes."

    5) You've already cited the study saying that female knowledge of politics is deficient compared to men: (http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2013...). I'll only point out the economic policy is indeed political in nature.

    Your turn.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Fair enough.

    In this study, done for the National Council on Economic Education, the purpose was to determine what young people and adults knew about economics. The results in the Major Findings section speak for themselves.

    1) http://www.ncee.net/cel/WhatAmericansKno...
    "What American Teens & Adults Know About Economics"
    (Prepared for:The National Council on Economic Education)
    Major Findings
    "Males are more likely than females to get an “A” or “B” (adults: 51% vs. 17%; students: 12% vs. 6%)"
    "Females are more likely to get an “F” than males (adults: 42% vs. 15%; students: 67% vs. 54%)"

    Get that? Men are 3 times more likely to score an "A" or a "B". The women are 3 times more likely to score an "F".

    Here's a graphic: http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2006...

    Note, this isn't a "fluff" piece. It's not an opinion piece. They're not some guy saying, "I know a bunch of women who are stupid about economics." The NCEE study is a, "nationwide sample of 3,512 U.S. adults aged 18+ and 2,242 U.S. students in grades 9-12". This significantly trumps your sample of "some women I know" and your methodology of "I think they are smart about economics."

    Not to belabor the point, but you asked:

    2) http://www.scienpress.com/Upload/AMAE/Vo...
    Behavioral Biases in Economic and Financial Knowledge:
    Are They the Same for Men and Women?
    Andrey Kudryavtsev1 and Gil Cohen
    "[W]omen are more strongly affected by...hindsight and anchoring bias" regarding economic and financial knowledge.

    3)https://www.econstor.eu/dspace/bitstream/10419/67721/1/732597579.pdf
    What do people know about the economy? A test of minimal economic knowledge in Germany
    "We found a gender effect, revealing that women had less economic knowledge than men. However, the magnitude of the difference is nevertheless surprising, given that women participate in the economy today much more than in past decades." (Note: This deals with the deficient economic knowledge of women in GERMANY, so you may choose to disregard it as inapplicable to AMERICAN women's knowledge. But since cites have been made to the Weimar Republic for the proposition that men are equally stupid, I thought I'd include it.)

    4) "The Gender Gap of Economics:
    Why Do Men Think More Like Economists?
    Evidence from the Survey of Americans and Economists on the Economy"
    This isn't actually a different study, but rather is an attempt to explain the woefully deficient knowledge of women regarding economics as revealed in the NCEC study (#1 above)
    In relative part:
    "Male adults are more interested than female adults, who are more interested than male students, who are more interested than female students. These differences are highly statistically significant: ... groups' interest in and knowledge of economics line up: Male adults score higher than female adults, who score higher than male students, who score higher than female students.

    But why would differences in interests lead to an interaction effect between gender and education rather than a simple level effect? There is a logical explanation. The longer a student stays in school, at any level, the more opportunities he or she has to learn. Some learning opportunities come through formal classroom instruction; others are a byproduct of social interaction. In both cases, though, the probability that a person takes advantage of opportunities to learn about a particular subject depends on how interesting he or she finds the subject. Since men find economics more interesting than women do, the longer they stay in school, the greater the disparity in their knowledge becomes."

    5) You've already cited the study saying that female knowledge of politics is deficient compared to men: (http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2013...). I'll only point out the economic policy is indeed political in nature.

    Your turn.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I was thinking more along the lines of the Aesop's Fable of the Ant and the Grasshopper - except in this case, the grasshopper isn't just lazy. The grasshopper has been stealing from the ant, eating the ant's food all along (women have been sucking tax money out of our pockets for their own benefit). This "ant" (myself) is simply saying, "ENOUGH! If a grasshopper shows up at my door in the dead of winter, I am not inclined to add charity to their theft!"

    I wonder why anyone who believed the institutionalized theft system as devised by women was okay would even be on this web site? If anything, Rand railed quite specifically against the sort of socialism women have constructed and which you (apparently) endorse... or at least do not condemn.

    If you want to be a sucker twice, that's fine - as long as you're not doing it with someone else's resources. Perhaps you are just more forgiving than I. Personally, if someone is stealing from me, and then is disadvantaged because of the method of theft, I feel NO obligation to help them in any way. Some might even call it "karma".

    As for the tests: It's the trend that is important. That trend (a sample of millions of college-bound students) has been uniformly downward for 4 decades... a solid indication that whatever enables a person to do well on the test (knowledge, intelligence... luck?) has been in uniform decline for 40 years. You're free to ascribe the decline to a drop in luck... but I would disagree. In addition, the research that indicates a drop in intelligence, is actually a separate study which did not reference the SAT. It is my own conclusion, with which people are free to disagree, that the drop in SAT scores is due to something other than "bad luck". One contributing factor is almost certainly that there are more stupid people going to college, thus more stupid people taking the test, and consequently, the scores have gone down. But I don't believe it accounts for all of the 40 year trend.
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  • Posted by $ winterwind 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Glue the prepaid envelope to a brick and send it back. Exorbitant postal charges sometimes make them pay attention.
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  • Posted by $ winterwind 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I'd look at where you want to be in the process first. Why do you want membership in a political party? To speak with others of like mind? To get "your" candidate elected? To do the work? To go to the Party parties? The journey to find answers MAY help you eliminate some choices. It will, at least, be fund. Best of luck on the way!
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  • Posted by $ winterwind 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    That's one of my favorite games - the "let's try to put this person in the right political box" game. When I won't admit to being Democrat or Republican, the question is inevitably "Well, are you on the left, or the right?" That's the fun part. Answers can range from "both" to "neither" and a guaranteed out if the conversation gets boring is a very soft "I live around at the back where the parties...meet." The worthwhile people want to know more about that, the ones who can't categorize me into their system go away. I have been known to whip out the Nolan chart, hand it to someone, and say "When YOU figure out where You are, we might want to talk."
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  • Posted by $ winterwind 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Basing any conclusion on the evidence of a standardized test is starting out on shaky ground. The SAT, and every test like it, determines what one is able to show that she or he knows at a specific point in time. Stating that high SAT scores denote high intelligence is starting with a faulty premise. Intelligence is "built in", like eyesight. I know nothing about the intelligence of almost every person in America; I do know that many of them do things which I characterize, in my own mental shorthand, as "stupid".
    and I object to "Repel..". Late is late, not a reflection of one's morality, intelligence or character . Fransisco is late - indeed, absent - from a breakfast that he, John and Ragnar have had together every year for 12 years. Does that mean that the door should be shut in his face when he shows up?
    Blanket judgements are [almost] always wrong.
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  • Posted by BambiB 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Absence of evidence isn't evidence of absence. When you cite to articles that make no mention of female economic acumen, you show nothing... except maybe a lack of rigor in your method.

    2,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 are apparently irrelevant (by your own admission). If you believe any of these articles contain data that tends to prove or disprove the statement "Women in America have inferior knowledge of economics compared to men in America", I will be happy to revisit them.

    Articles 1 and 5 tend to support my assertion, the former with statements such as, "Women are gaining financial independence to an unprecedented degree — they now make up the majority of college graduates, are nearly half of the labor force and are becoming the primary earners in many households. Yet most remain uneasy or uninvolved when it comes to talking about and managing money.
    The repercussions of their lack of knowledge are ones everyone, not just women, will have to bear the burden of, personal finance experts say."

    Number 5 does refer to the WORLDWIDE disparity in knowledge between men and women in poitics. The last time I checked, the USA was part of the world, and the lack of economic knowledge I've been speaking of is as applied to political decisions. Unclear whether this directly supports the thesis.

    Where are the articles that say women are on the same level in economic knowledge as men? Were you unable to find even ONE article that contradicts what I've been saying?
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    I just went back and checked the "full proof" of Fermat's Last Theorem, and just realized a potential problem with it. I'm shooting an email to one of the number theory folks I deal with to ask about it.

    Here is what I noticed. The "proof" is based on the fact that for every right triangle (meaning one of the angles is 90-degrees), the equation A^2 + B^2 = C^2, where A and B are the lengths of the two legs, and C is the length of the hypotenuse. It works out rather nicely.

    But they *assumed* that A^n + B^n = C^n would also work with a right triangle. Pourquoi?

    Why the assumption? That was not explained in the proof, so I am looking into it.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Misogynists of the World Unite!

    Strip Women's Suffrage!
    (or, I guess, just "strip women" -- it all depends on your point of view)

    I have always had a hard time with blatant generalizations. "All women are..." kinds of lines just make me wonder what is going on in the head of the one saying it.
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  • Posted by khalling 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    wow. thanks for the research. I wasn't feeling that motivated over such a stupid conclusion as take the vote away from women and we'll be saved. like born again women haters
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    BambiB said: " I don't see any research at all, consequently I personally perceive your comments to be unsupported opinion. Of course, if I'm mistaken in this belief, it shouldn't be a problem to present your actual data - instead of only a naked opinion. "

    That you refuse to accept my own empirical evidence based on my life's experiences is your issue. Basically what you are saying is that unless YOU have REAL RESEARCH to back up what YOU say, then it is worthless. You should be judged by the rules you use to judge others.

    In presenting my opinions based on my own experience, I *AM* presenting my "actual data." Everyone seems to understand that but you.
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    BambiB said: ">> Yes, what I said was an "opinion." Every single research study ever written is an "opinion."
    Incorrect. While it may be true that research RESULTS in opinions, I have yet to see a study that contained NO DATA, and consisted purely of an opinion. (Can you cite a single study of any kind, in any field, conducted at any time for any purpose that contained no data?) "

    I never said they had no data -- in fact, I specifically said they DID have data, and that the opinion was based on the numbers they had.

    Just to help you, here is what I said: "But in the final analysis, someone looked at numbers and formed an opinion based on them."

    So you are arguing what I said, even though your own reply shows you agree with it. Are you kidding me? Are you so bent on arguing that you will even take a point where we seem to agree, and argue both sides of it, just for the sake of argument??????
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  • Posted by LeeCrites 11 years, 9 months ago in reply to this comment.
    BambiB delivers a trite litany of questions I won't bother to repeat: "5) If "Confidence Level" is a "SCWAG", what do your call your own estimates? ... because I believe it"? "

    My comments were my opinions based on the peer group I am in. Since my peer group is NOT reflective of your preconceived ideas and attitudes, which seem to be loosely based on someone else's research of some variety, I tossed that in.

    Your inability to accept that someone else might have a valid experience that is contradictory to your prejudices and attitudes is your problem, not mine. Deal with it.
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