COVID-19 - Suppression vs Mitigation - Life or Death
Posted by freedomforall 5 years ago to News
"The coronavirus is still spreading nearly everywhere. 152 countries have cases. We are against the clock. But we don’t need to be: there’s a clear way we can be thinking about this.
Some countries, especially those that haven’t been hit heavily yet by the coronavirus, might be wondering: Is this going to happen to me? The answer is: It probably already has. You just haven’t noticed. When it really hits, your healthcare system will be in even worse shape than in wealthy countries where the healthcare systems are strong. Better safe than sorry, you should consider taking action now.
For the countries where the coronavirus is already here, the options are clear.
On one side, countries can go the mitigation route: create a massive epidemic, overwhelm the healthcare system, drive the death of millions of people, and release new mutations of this virus in the wild.
On the other, countries can fight. They can lock down for a few weeks to buy us time, create an educated action plan, and control this virus until we have a vaccine.
Governments around the world today, including some such as the US, the UK or Switzerland have so far chosen the mitigation path.
That means they’re giving up without a fight. They see other countries having successfully fought this, but they say: “We can’t do that!”
What if Churchill had said the same thing? “Nazis are already everywhere in Europe. We can’t fight them. Let’s just give up.” This is what many governments around the world are doing today. They’re not giving you a chance to fight this. You have to demand it."
Some countries, especially those that haven’t been hit heavily yet by the coronavirus, might be wondering: Is this going to happen to me? The answer is: It probably already has. You just haven’t noticed. When it really hits, your healthcare system will be in even worse shape than in wealthy countries where the healthcare systems are strong. Better safe than sorry, you should consider taking action now.
For the countries where the coronavirus is already here, the options are clear.
On one side, countries can go the mitigation route: create a massive epidemic, overwhelm the healthcare system, drive the death of millions of people, and release new mutations of this virus in the wild.
On the other, countries can fight. They can lock down for a few weeks to buy us time, create an educated action plan, and control this virus until we have a vaccine.
Governments around the world today, including some such as the US, the UK or Switzerland have so far chosen the mitigation path.
That means they’re giving up without a fight. They see other countries having successfully fought this, but they say: “We can’t do that!”
What if Churchill had said the same thing? “Nazis are already everywhere in Europe. We can’t fight them. Let’s just give up.” This is what many governments around the world are doing today. They’re not giving you a chance to fight this. You have to demand it."
"If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) ..."
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056...
- Global mortality rate increased from 3.84% to 4.7%;
- USA mortality rate strayed relatively the same: 1.83% to 1.80%
- CA mortality rate ticked up: from 1.82% to 2.13%.
Question is if the US will follow the trend of world mortality cases to almost 5%.
Fauci, TODAY, said the number of deaths will be 100-200,000. In 2018 the flu killed 80,000. With thesread being at 3 to 1 versus the flu infection spread at 1.2 to 1. What that suggests is at the end of this, the mortality rate may be below .1%.
Germany is at .3 currently
Fauci is basing his opinion on a "model".
Everyone with even a cursory knowledge of how models "work" is aware the method's pitfall. Models use assumptions that may or may not be factual. Think of the Climate Change models, how good (bad) they were.
Douglas Adams had it right: Don't Panic!
Who declined to buy ventilators, spending the money on illegals and driving Sanctuary City status with all his might.?
And now going on air spewing his idiotic ideas, still resisting Trump, even though new cases of infections continue to rise in NY?
An aside, most of the hospitals here are having a problem with the supply of mask and gowns. Small apparel companies and private citizens are trying to fill in this gap.
Local control may be the way that the right path is discovered. There are strings attached to any federal funds.
I recall reading somewhere ( can't find the reference right now ) that there was an ample supply of hydroxycholorquine available right now.
So the problem is now solved. Let's move on!
Hydroxycholorquine is approved but, as I understand it, it doesn't work in every case. Not enough patient study yet to know how well it will work. I'm glad it has been approved, too.
HHS also noted that it had “accepted 30 million doses of hydroxychloroquine sulfate donated by Sandoz, the Novartis generics and biosimilars division, and one million doses of chloroquine phosphate donated by Bayer Pharmaceuticals, for possible use in treating patients hospitalized with COVID-19 or for use in clinical trials.”
More federal government meddling and incompetence interfering with free market efforts to limit the spread of COVID19?
http://joannenova.com.au/2020/03/we-c...
as well on other threads on joannenova.com.au
There are some good comments.
As well there is
http://joannenova.com.au/2020/03/bill...
Gates made a good warning call but was wrong about the globalist solution.
".. But we don’t need a global heath system. We have that already and it’s worse than useless. Back in January the WHO was telling everyone not to stop flights from China. Absurd WHO declarations became the convenient excuse for weak Chief Medical Officers to recommend exactly the wrong thing."
By the numbers, the rate of change has been decreasing for Global, US and CA cases (not deaths).
Global decrease since March 25th: 16%
USA decrease: 34%
CA decrease: 34%