China will invade taiwan peacefully through a naval blockade ending trade trom taiwan. China will do this if Biden is re elected in November. If Trump wins, china will pull back and wait to see if Trump is impeached (again)

Since Biden has hung Taiwan out to dry (just like Truman and Acheson did to South Korea in 1950), China must be feeling more confident about an attack.
Deja vu all over again.

Thanks for the comment. I posted the article on invasion of Taiwan, but I WROTE an article on China's hoarding gold for exactly the reasons you say. https://www.thesavvystreet.com/china-...

Forgot to subscribe to comments.

Xi Jinping, as stupid as he is, knows that all he'll get if he invades Taiwan is nothing. Semiconductor fabs are fragile! All you have to do to destroy one, is open the clean room to the outside world.

the basic issue is ammo and supply
we no longer have nuke power escort ships, so the smaller ships can only run so far, so fast.

the CVNs only carry so much ammo for the jets.
the subs carry 24 torps/missiles and most have 12 external (in the ballast tanks) tubes for Tomahawks

we have 4 Ohio (ex-Boomers) that can carry around 140 Tomahawk missiles, the Ohio herself is going out of service next year, the other 3 do not have listed dates, but they cannot be far behind

the commie chinese have enough old jets to run Japan and Taiwan out of missiles

can a mass attack get enough through to do damage?

I have to say I am no expert on this topic, however, various info I've seen regarding the USN has shown me the capabilities may be more than meets the layman's eye. Perhaps my confidence is more than it should be, but I still carry the belief the USN would be hard to kill (except for nukes over a wide area) and can deliver a very nasty punch. Let's hope we don't have to find out any time soon.

US CVN has limited ammo
so do the Aegis Cruisers and DDs
and a limited amount of reloads to ship to them.

we rule the open ocean
shallow water is an issue for our subs

our subs think surface ships are just targets
and they are mostly right.

the CVNs lost their S-3 Vikings when the Russian Navy fell apart, we have no CV based long ranged anti-sub defense, but we have lots of SSNs.

what we need is the Will to Use what we have

Good points, mhubb.

I don't think a US boomer has to park in the Taiwan strait to hit commie China. And neither does a US carrier group. The CCP navy will likely have to come into the Pacific to face ours, which makes it a lot tougher to pull off a victory. All things considered, the US Navy has a long reach.

I,too, worry about the Chinese infiltration at our southern border. Bad move on our part. They are also infiltrating the legal channels as "students" or whatever else. Also bad move on our part.

basic issue
there are only so many anti-ship missiles, anti-aircraft missiles
the waters of the Taiwan Straights are shallow, our Nuke Subs do not like shallow

and all the chinese that came into the US would be doing stuff, you can bet on that.

they do not need Taiwan intact
they need it gone, not longer able to compete with their computer chip sales

and they want Japan gone also, for many long remember reasons, the Japanese killed more Chinese than the Germans killed Jews, Slaves, ect.

with biden the usurper, the risk it lower

The CCP has been threatening to take Taiwan since before I was born (I'm 72). I figure eventually they might try it, but they will need to get a lot of ducks in order before actually doing it because it will be extremely expensive and messy. Bringing Taiwan under the CCP wing makes nice rhetoric for commie politicians, but that isn't enough to kill millions of people and literally burn up trillions of dollars in wealth, which they will never get back. They will not get Taiwan intact like they got Hong Kong. IMHO, the commies won't do it for "unification", but they would do it to stay in power by giving the folks at home something to rally around. Meaning an internal upheaval of some kind will necessitate an external event like a war. This is the scenario, IMO, we need to be constantly wary of and prepared for.

So, why hoard gold? From the article: " China’s burgeoning gold reserves are an attempt to insulate the country from the impact of U.S. dollar sanctions if and when it launches its own invasion..." I disagree with the conclusion of invasion, rather I think it's going to be a hedge against the US dollar becoming worthless on the world stage. The US sanctioning useless dollars would be an effort in futility. The Chinese hold a lot of US paper and if (when) that paper becomes worthless, gold reserves could be the hedge. With a decent economic hedge to keep the folks at home placated the CCP can continue rattling sabers without actually having to go to war. So, who's buying the gold? For now we are every time you buy something made in China and as long as the US dollar is perceived as having value.

With all that said, the weak Xiden regime may make a CCP move on Taiwan tempting, but it would be very high risk.

commie china cannot allow Taiwan to stand
it shows how bad their commie system is

and they plan to drop a few "presents" by way of Japan on the way to Taiwan, i expect. their hare of Japan is only comparable to their hate of Russia.
do not think that Russia and commie china are in love, they simple see a chance to settle old scores against others. there used to be more troops on the Soviet/China border than any other place in the world, for reason going back centuries
those memories are still there