New study: the middle class is collapsing in the United States
Posted by UncommonSense 10 years, 6 months ago to Economics
Good stuff here. The line that really stands out for me: "There’s no longer a career track, growth, or significant advancement." I've been experiencing just that for the last couple of years. I don't think I'm alone here.
Some of the root cause 'changes' I've noticed started when I was graduated from college in 1968. One of the first 'gifts' I got was an ad from Sears to get a credit card. Mom and dad, who'd lived through the Great Depression, never had credit cards and abhorred debt. I grew up in a house that had no mortgage.
But after that period, credit cards made lots of money for banks and allowed tons of people to avoid 'delayed gratification' so long as they could keep up the minimum payments. Good Living was a credit card swipe away. Debt exploded.
Subsidized college loans (lower-than-free-market interest rates) created excessive demand and today kids are trying to figure out who they can hit up to pay off their loans.
Big advance in intellect and knowledge of economics, there, eh? Not.
Yep, every price or statistic quoted in treatises like that one should/must include normalization and graphs to show the relative cost and changes in price over at least the past 50 years, or someone is just blowing smoke up your butt.
In 1969 I bought an expensive car... sticker price around 50% of my gross income. But I had no debt, was living at home, had a good-paying job, negligible expenses and paid cash for the car after saving my income for a year!
Normalizing all that stuff shows me that today, looking at average home and car prices and average incomes, little has changed, other than the amount of debt people carry... and bitch about. And I didn't OWN a TV until I owned a home and turned about 45! But it was one of the biggest, best TVs you could buy back then, and I paid cash for that, too.
Fred
That all makes capital gains roughly half of what income tax is.
So I guess it isn't as unfair as I originally thought it was.
If the people moving in are moving in because the bracket value itself is declining, that is not a good thing
When a nation disassociates the value of production from a fixed standard, this is what you end up with - an ever-increasingly warped value in the market itself. Inflation is universally destructive because it undermines achievement itself and most especially investment. Inflation works against the entrepreneur and the investor by demanding an ever increasing income flow just to break even. It works against the landowner by devaluing rent. It works against banks and institutions of lending by forcing them to account for inflation using higher interest rates. And it works against consumers by encouraging manufacturers to produce shoddy goods which constantly need to be replaced in order to pay off their loans.
The only people who benefit from inflation are governments who borrow too much money.
1.) Whats up with the Santiago, Chile byline, and what does that have to do with Pennsylvania? It seems to be more of a propaganda article.
2.) It makes blanket statements that simply are not true for much of the country.
- For example - the 1970 versus current cost of Univ of Pennsylvania. Isn't that an Ivy League or nearly so?
- 2012 price is $42,734, big deal, I paid over $10,000 at the Univ of Minnesota in the late 1990s and my GI Bill covered most of it. Think creatively, don't whine & moan about it.
- If the "median" income is $49,486 for a family of 2 working adults in Pennsylvania, are around $12.00 an hour each, I'm going to guess they are not investing that in a college degree there, or military experience, etc. $12.00 is less than the minimum wage in Seattle for example, and basically starting pay for a college student/level in most parts of the country, or half what a McDonalds worker makes in Williston, ND, or less than a high school student in the BWI corridor. Blanket statements like that are pretty dumb to make, when there are different places to live and different schools to attend. My wife and I are in the top 3% or so of earners, and I don't feel like I could afford to send my kid to USC or Cal Berkeley or whatever. He's fine going to a state college and will get the same degree.
- Umm... the "price of a piece of paper". You mean the ability to create scholar-grade documents or creative writing skills that make the difference between selling pest control or burglar alarm services door to door or selling aircraft for Boeing or something? (for someone in the sales field for example). No offense to home services stuff, but its the difference between a couple of hundred dollar commission and millions in commissions.
- Ah, yeah, real estate asset price inflation does help quite a bit if you only save 5% - most families control a much larger asset through the mortgage leverage. If you don't have a mortgage, you pay rent, so its an inescapable expense for a large asset with a lot of leverage. (A 5% increase in a $200,000 home is $10,000, or probably more than the payments totaled on it that year and would be 20% of the income for the people in this example while $200k @ 4 times gross earnings would be a realistic price point for the couple if they lived relatively frugally).
- if a workplace 5% invested, often, that is matched by the employer (or get a different employer). 5% + 5% = 10% invested, plus the growth. In 2 years, that's like $12,000 saved/invested. Not bad on minimum wage (using their example).
3.) Who wrote this? Citing studies from UC Berkeley and the London School of Economics? There are no two more liberal places on the planet.. "Workers of the world unite!". The UK has a lot to lose as far as their best & brightest going to the US - of course they want it to sound horrible.
Here's the cold, hard truth. I used to work in the finance industry years ago, and for a while, I reviewed and underwrote mortgage applications. You see a lot into people's "bad choices" doing that. Here's a few "mantras" I found:
1.) The "shakier" the income, the more they tended to spend on flashy stuff - a Porsche, etc.. While it was a lot of income - such as at a technology startup, what's the long term prospects for whatever money-losing enterprise it was of the day? I saw a lot of 20-somethings with software engineering degrees working for a startup, living in an apartment, with a $700/month BMW lease (always for 5 years it seemed like).
2.) No idea what it is about being a blue collar apprentice (a plumber can make a lot - his or her apprentice doesn't). Just because they "might" make a lot of money some day if they have their own shop, etc., doesn't mean they have it now. but they always had the F250 turbo-diesel with 4 more years of $750 / month payments on it, and the $40,000 ski boat loan. Sometimes it was the "toy hauler" and the his & her quad runners.
- Now, driving a used Toyota pickup or something at $250 / month, and skipping the ski boat and the toy hauler until you can afford to buy one - would have been an extra $1000 a month invested or buying the family home... but... "poor" choices.
3.) I do agree with the private enterprise investment comment, you can only invest in stuff like oil & gas or private mortgage markets if you are an accredited investor... either a million cash-on-hand or a $250,000+ income. What they are missing though is that the entry-point for most of those is a minimum of $50,000 or $250,000 investment - so someone on $49k a year isn't going to be doing that anyway.
4.) Wage stagnation is a fact of life with 15%+ unemployment or partial unemployment. Blame that on the democrats... they like to have a dependent society, brings in more democrat voters. Salaries and wages are like any other supply & demand curve, fewer people in the market create more demand and wages rise.
Thank you for noticing that as well. We don't have cable, Wii and we bought a fixer-upper...which keeps us busy.
Priorities are often the problem with folks.
I wrote what I did to illustrate the dynamics of wealth in a free market system. In a socialist/communist system there is only one apex: government. Yes, the 2nd 1% as well as the 3rd, etc., are apexes of wealth, too. In a robust dynamic economy they can be rising to the 1% or falling from the 1% or anywhere in between. Hopefully, you get the gist.
You hit the nail on the head, I was composing a similar response while I read the first part of your comment and then saw your correct analysis.
The cost comparison of college carries through to everything else as well. A car used to cost $3,000 when the income was around $15-$18,000 annually.
Now that average income is around $48,000 a car that is desirable costs over $20,000.
Carry that concept through to housing and all other expenses and it is easy to see the problem. Starter houses for newly marrieds in their mid 20's don't need to be in the $200,000 plus range just because their parents after 30 years own a house in that range plus.
Fred Speckmann
commonsenseforamericans@yahoo.com
Are long-term capital gains not taxed?
Yes!
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