New study: the middle class is collapsing in the United States
Posted by UncommonSense 10 years, 6 months ago to Economics
Good stuff here. The line that really stands out for me: "There’s no longer a career track, growth, or significant advancement." I've been experiencing just that for the last couple of years. I don't think I'm alone here.
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Let me re-write one of my above sentences, however:
"...when it is accurately become a fiction, that it is printed on whim."
I do not mean to say that it is a 'fiction that money is printed on whim'. I did mean to say that money is a fiction, BECAUSE it is printed on whim.
Woops. My bad.
Jan
For the audio library, there is a 2fer. recording 1 is "The Richest Man in Babylon" #2 is "The Magic Story" That disk is available on Amazon
If you look at the economic progress made by millions from the 40s to millennium, maybe we should review!
I listened to our President in the beginning of his 1st term talk about creating jobs. He had thousands of "shovel ready" jobs, remember? At the same time I had decided I wanted to acquire a string of nicer rental homes. Something to provide income, local control, and the kind of assets talked about in the above article.
What I found was while the President struggled trying to understand why jobs were not being created simply because the President wished it to be...people were calling me in the dead of winter to confirm we were going to need flooring, electrical, plumbing, plaster and paint for next spring. Inadvertently, I was creating the Jobs the President could not. The difference was I wanted to do something. The President telling his chronie capitalist friends "we need some jobs here", doesn't give anyone an incentive.
If your father or grandfather worked for a manufacturer, his job became a career. It didn't matter if he ran a punch press or if he closed the deal on the Abrahm's tank, they were all part of the team. That kind of corporate structure started going away with free trade. We bitch about the foreigners building everything, but we love the price of the 50" flat screen at Costco.
So where does that lead? this is simply my opinion. A young person today needs to develop a skill that is theirs alone and start a business based on that skillset. It can be anything from Barbershop to Banking, but if it's your business and you've made it unique, people will want your involvement.
There is always a churning in American business. The new must come forth as the old withers. Bell Telephone was once so big it had to be taken apart by our anti-trust laws. Now, almost no one uses a land line. At the time, any snapshot would not have revealed this shift.
If I didn't have a burning idea of my own, I'd find someone who did. Those who hitched their wagon to Microsoft or Apple or Google or Ebay have done well, even if they haven't shared the fame.
In the first great depression many new companies were started, Channel and US Steel to name a couple. Others were made new by people of vision. Max Factor made several fortunes by offering "hope" to his clients as they searched for a more youthful appearance.
Economic turmoil has happened before, it just seems different now. We've seen pictures of the soup lines and people standing at the hiring office with a sign stating "no help wanted!" We don't see that today because the soup line is on your food stamp debit card, you just buy your stuff and go home. The resume process is mostly electronic, which begs the question "How do you make your resume stand out?" What we are aware of is the endless droning of the unemployment statistic, the participation rate, and so on. Harry Truman had a terrific answer to a reporter's question. When asked what he thought about the high rate of unemployment? Truman responded "It depends on whether you're working or not!" On the face of it, that is a great sound bite. But drill in and you find if you are working, you have a huge advantage. You have the ability to buy almost anything at the "on sale" price because business is not good in general.
I'm not going to blow smoke up your shorts, it tough and it sucks. If you're on the short end of this stick you have to find a way to change your position. Work and a unique "position" in the workplace/marketplace are your best options.
In the Carter years I had a barbershop. I was fortunate to have a location that was convenient to businessmen. Everyday was like going to school for me because I like people and I was curious about their success stories. When Chrysler Stock went to less than $3 a share, a lot of my clients were buying it. I didn't have enough cash to buy a pack of smokes. A few years later Chrysler stock was over $80 a share. What a difference a few thousand dollars would have made, but I just didn't have the cash. Fast Forward to recent years, what do you think I did when Ford stock went down to $1.91? My point is things like this happen over and over in the course of history and we have a choice. We can either pull over and sing a rousing chorus of "poor poor me" or we can use our mind to start to plan a way to change our position on the short end of life's stick.
The restrictions on capital gains also mean that making income through the stock market will increase your wealth much faster than working independently, which is quite a strange thing to push people towards.
The 0% capital gains only sets in if your "income" is in the bottom bracket, which is why you see so many executives taking $1 salaries and getting compensation in special stock options that are eligible for capital gains.
This, in my mind, is the most directly obvious way middle class people are being pressured into staying in middle class.
I mentioned the 1% as "apexes of wealth". They are dynamic over time, growing and shrinking. Very few 18th century free market fortunes survived the 19th century and very few 19th century free market fortunes survived the 20th century. I expect few 20th century free market fortunes will survive the 21st century. Free market apexes of wealth only survive as long as they are useful and are intelligently administered. Not so for government wealth. Government can suck dry a source of wealth with the stroke of a bureaucrats pen. Happens all the time.
So it looks as if the statement that the middle class is collapsing has a degree of accuracy. It also looks as if more people are 'shrugging' (non-employer businesses).
There is reason that more business are 'renting' employees: you get a chance to see if the person is worthwhile before you offer them a job; your burden is not as great because you do not have to offer them health coverage (now an increasing issue); if they work from home, there is less investment in brick-and-mortar.
That being said, my company has recently passed its 20th anniversary, and our employees have been with us for 5, 10, and sometimes 20 years.
Now onto the other side of the equation. I vent about a couple of brilliant young (! not so much any more) programmers we have. They have terrible work habits (getting better, though), big ed loans to pay off...but they do things like flying to the East Coast for a reunion with their buds when they are having trouble making ends meet. Somehow money is still 'magic' to them. (On the other hand, a self-made wealthy woman I know clips coupons and invests every cent she earns and still has enough money left over to enjoy a great life with many hobbies and options.) So I also think the argument that 'lifestyle habits' and the definition of how many TV/PC are included in a 'minimal home environment' has sway in many instances.
I find it more difficult to blame intelligent younger people for considering money magic when it is accurately become a fiction that is printed on whim. I also think that people are estranged from reality and this has led to the rise of modern liberalism (which is puzzlingly unrealistic). There are many threads to what is happening, and I do not like the pattern that these threads are weaving. I just hope that Atropos will spare the shears a while longer and give us a chance to work it out.
Jan
The middle class had a chance until the welfare state took it away.
quantitative easing and the like, from our friends
at the fed plus in congress, and welfare programs,
to maintain the progressives' voting base. -- j
and I felt it, as a professional engineer, seeing
less and less distinction during my "career" --
starting with a private office and regular pay
increases ... and, 33 years later, a roommate
and stagnation. . I retired, or shrugged, or quit. -- j
When Nancy Pelosi said she viewed the overrunning of our southern border as "an opportunity," I thought that to be very telling.
The transfer is in part going to China, but most of it is going to the 1%.
[Sarcasm] You're saying America is a place where you can get ahead through hard work w/o a handout? Why you must be a troll. [/Sarcasm]
I agree with everything you're saying, except that by definition, when someone moves out of a wealth percentile someone else moves into it. So when you say people are moving out the top decile, someone else is moving into it.
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