Donald Trump, game theorist?
Posted by robgambrill 8 years, 9 months ago to Science
From the article...
"Like or hate Donald Trump, the presumptive U.S. Republican Party nominee for president, his positions are consistent with two principles of game theory..."
"Like or hate Donald Trump, the presumptive U.S. Republican Party nominee for president, his positions are consistent with two principles of game theory..."
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I was Cruz all the way (cause I think he cares about the constitution), but Its over now and I think it is important to keep HC from becoming president. I am going to hold my nose and vote republican yet once again! Maybe I should say he is not that bad compared to the last two republicans presidential candidates that I voted for. Who knows, he might even win.
Best strategy I can come up with at the moment. Vote for the maximum payoff I can get, even though it is not the maximum payoff I hoped to get. Compromising sucks!
I prefer making deals to being a dictatorship.
All that said, I suspect his "say anything" will lose to HC's "committed" communism. Too many in America just don't care enough anymore to gather more info than a 12 second sound-byte. Worse HC are even more delusionally rabid that the DT supporters (each thoroughly repulsive in their Alinsky tactics).
If you wanted to play the "madman strategy" you could say that you were considering secretly issuing a "shoot to kill" order for illegal border crossings.
That statement would be a deterrent if given by Trump, who could say if he really meant it? I know that is a pretty contrived example of the advantage of being unpredictable, but it would also be far cheaper than building a wall.
No one approaching a negotiation reveals what he will settle for and usually asks for something he knows the other side is unwilling to give, just to get them moving in his direction.
You also don't, as he explicitly says, let your opponent know that you are determined to come to an agreement -- this gives him all the power. The Obama administration was obviously determined to get a deal with Iran. Didn't work out so well.
So, is Mexico going to write a check for the wall? Probably not, but they may wind up paying for it one way or another. Trump has mentioned the amount of money flowing over the border in unbalanced trade. It obviously reflects an opportunity to collect sufficient funds to pay for a border wall.
Full Definition of cunning
1: dexterous or crafty in the use of special resources (as skill or knowledge) or in attaining an end
2: displaying keen insight
3: characterized by wiliness and trickery
4: prettily appealing : cute