Are Stock values not as overpriced as they seem?
So here's the debate: how does one quantify intangible assets? Should they really be on the balance sheet or not? Are they an expense or a capital asset? I think there can be a robust discussion both ways, to be honest, but it is in the actual valuation where the rubber meets the road.
In my opinion, the entire market is over-leveraged. To me, assets are only worth as much as someone else is willing to pay for them. The measure of a company's worth is measured quite simply: revenue - expenses = profit. If you aren't turning a profit, your assets really aren't worth all that much (see Facebook and other social media). To me, Wall Street divorced itself from Main Street decades ago be being run by computer algorithms. I also don't like what I see in the housing market as in my area, property values are again ballooning just like they did before the last crash. The third leg of the stool is bond values, which are worth nothing because of the artificially low interest rates.
1. This only applies to price-to-book, which was never very reliable because the value of assets on the books has always been a rough estimate.
2. Companies try to expense as much as they can so they get the tax deduction immediately, rather than as depreciation over the life of the asset. It doesn't affect long-term earnings, since they would show that expense eventually.
3. At a time when unemployment is low and we've had a sold bull market since the last recession ten years, hearing someone say that because the nature of business has changed conventional valuation models no longer apply gives me a strong sensation of deja vu.
"It's different this time."
FFA's translation:
Bloomberg has a vested interest in getting all of the suckers fully invested in overpriced shares so their pals on Wall Street can strip them of all the earnings left after government has looted them.
Wall Street gets rich by stealing from others and lying scum like Bloomberg are their knowing accomplices.