'The biggest joke in politics': Trump campaign chief disses 2020 polling

Posted by $ nickursis 5 years, 10 months ago to Politics
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Well, lets see, they said he would lose in 2016, that didin't go well, so I guess this means Trump will win again in 2020.......


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  • Posted by exceller 5 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    "What is a "likely voter" today? "

    Exactly.

    Besides, these polling groups use the same database over and over, regardless of how demographics or voter sentiment changes.

    It is very difficult to beat a sitting president. We know that from Hussein's reign, among others, despite the dismal state he steered the country to.
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  • Posted by $ WilliamShipley 5 years, 10 months ago
    "It's the economy, stupid". If the economy remains strong Trump gets reelected. If we have a recession -- and there are hints that could happen -- then whatever cartoon character the Democrats pick will win.
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  • Posted by $ 5 years, 10 months ago in reply to this comment.
    Well, his campaign manager makes a good point, polling science has not kept up with reality. People get their information from a lot of sources and a statistical sample of people who get their information from the wide variety of sources would have to be much larger to be meaningful. They use phones and a sample size of 5 or 6 hundred, and it's just not accurate. What is a "likely voter" today?
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  • Posted by mminnick 5 years, 10 months ago
    The latest poll I saw shows Trump at 49% approval. so not taking the other polls seriously may be justified. Given the track record of polling organizations in the last election I would say skepticism of the part of the campaign could be warrented.
    As I have commented in prior posts and comments.most of the polls as don't provide enough information on sample size and composition and error bounds to make a truelly accurate assessment of the results . I did a little diging on several of the polls and found the candidates where within the margin of error of the pols. not surprising at this stage on the game.
    I just wish the pollsters would provide all of the data and the "News reporters would provide them to the public. I'll probabily be long gone before that happens on a regular basis.
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