How Unelected Regulators Unleashed the Derivatives Monster – and How It Might Be Tamed

Posted by freedomforall 8 months, 3 weeks ago to Politics
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Excerpt:
"While the world is absorbed in the U.S. election drama, the derivatives time bomb continues to tick menacingly backstage. No one knows the actual size of the derivatives market, since a major portion of it is traded over-the-counter, hidden in off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicles. However, when Warren Buffet famously labeled derivatives “financial weapons of mass destruction” in 2002, its “notional value” was estimated at $56 trillion. Twenty years later, the Bank for International Settlements estimated that value at $610 trillion. And financial commentators have put it as high as $2.3 quadrillion or even $3.7 quadrillion, far exceeding global GDP, which was about $100 trillion in 2022. A quadrillion is 1,000 trillion.

Most of this casino is run through the same banks that hold our deposits for safekeeping. Derivatives are sold as “insurance” against risk, but they actually add a heavy layer of risk because the market is so interconnected that any failure can have a domino effect. Most of the banks involved are also designated “too big to fail,” which means we the people will be bailing them out if they do fail.

Derivatives are considered so risky that the Bankruptcy Act of 2005 and the Uniform Commercial Code grant them (along with repo trades) “super-priority” in bankruptcy. That means if a bank goes bankrupt, derivative and repo claims are settled first, drawing from the same pool of liquidity that holds our deposits. (See David Rogers Webb’s The Great Taking and my earlier articles here and here.) A derivatives crisis could easily vacuum up that pool, leaving nothing for us as depositors — or for the “secured” creditors who are junior to derivative and repo claimants in bankruptcy, including state and local governments. "
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D.C. is utterly corrupt and can't be reformed.
NIFO


All Comments

  • Posted by tutor-turtle 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    I have to wonder how safe those 401K gold/silver holdings really are.
    As the old saying goes "If you can't hold it in your hand, do you really own it?"
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  • Posted by $ jbrenner 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    My parents had $100 K in GMAC (General Motors) 10 year bonds (prior to the Obama takeover. When Obama took over what became Government Motors, GMAC bonds went bankrupt. According to bankruptcy law, bondholders were supposed to be made whole first, followed by stockholders, and then anyone else. Instead, pension funds of former employees were made whole first. For the $100 K in bonds, my parents got a threatening letter saying that you will be given $225, and if you sue us, we'll sue you. That was my "shrug" moment. This was during the Cash for Clunkers nonsense.
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  • Posted by Lucky 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    Yes that is the big point I noticed- that when there is a claim, derivatives come first.
    Note that government and its agencies made that rule.
    How would the market make the rankings?

    Surely, anything that complex would rank low. Intuition and custom, that widows and orphans, bread and butter would rank top seems to me to the right approach here at least.
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  • Posted by 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    Trade the FRNs for marbles or something else of actual lasting value.
    Yes, I notice that today when the DOW stock market values have dropped 2.5% and the Wall St media are panicked,
    the price of paper silver that Wall St uses to suppress actual silver's value is down more than 4%.
    Gold is down less than 1%.
    Without the 'paper silver/gold' market to manipulate the prices both gold and silver would probably be increasing
    today as people move out of shares, out of FRNs, and into something that holds value over time.
    No doubt Wall St thieves are taking long positions at lower prices in AU and AG.
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  • Posted by tutor-turtle 8 months, 3 weeks ago
    Derivatives are the sole reason why gold, silver and other tangible assets are not rated at their true value. Too much paper, not enough of the real thing to cover all the promises.
    Kind of like our sovereign debt.
    Other countries see this country for exactly what it is: an empty bag of promises.
    Every country that holds our debt in the form of bonds and/or dollars is slowly but surely getting the hell out.
    The fact that oil on the international market is now sold in all major currencies (ah, hem.. BRICS, Wan, Rubles..et.el.) means the US hegemony in the Petro dollar is all over kids.
    Gather up your marbles while you can.
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  • Posted by CaptainKirk 8 months, 3 weeks ago
    As a past-life options trader... I see the FUN and the benefit of options. And of Futures.

    Futures were designed, originally, to give cash to farmers in advance of their crops. It quickly became a way to screw them. NOTICE that the price of CORN is not that much higher in the futures world than it was 20 years ago... How is that? (Manipulation).

    But what do you pay for Corn in the store?
    once the system was in place. The farmers are forced to play along, and they are forced, in many situations, to sell their futures WHEN OTHER FARMERS need to sell. Creating a great opportunity for the future consumers to buy low.

    Then the speculators come in.
    Then the biggest speculators come in.
    Then they fail. And the system DOES BACK FLIPS to unwind their losing trades.

    So, it's a rigged system. I got out of the "trading" game when I realized that the bigger fish had such visibility into the system, they could calculate the profits of stopping everyone out, but dropping the market quickly, and then buying it all back up.

    Yeah, a few Flash Crashes happened, too... But overall. These guys cleaned up. Especially in Gold and Silver. Highly rigged markets.

    Stealing from the middle class. Giving to the banksters!
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  • Posted by mhubb 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    that would hurt the bankers and that cannot be allowed to happen by the bought politicians

    voters??
    screw them as they have always done
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  • Posted by $ jbrenner 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    That's a pretty ambitious set of goals, FFA. There will be a war if all of those goals were to be achieved. I was hoping to, like the Chinese have always preferred, to fight without fighting (with hat tip to Bruce Lee).
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  • Posted by 8 months, 3 weeks ago in reply to this comment.
    The largest banks would have been bankrupted in 2008, as they should have been, the bankster
    control over the people could have been seriously reduced, and the communist regimes of Obama
    and Buydem might never have been able to occur.

    I couldn't agree more with your statement, jb.
    Declare the Federal Reserve Act unconstitutional, seize all bankster assets -stolen by the banksters
    under that unconscionable law, and prosecute every federal employee, lobbyist, consultant that
    have participated in the conspiracy, including all retired personnel and former con-gresspersons.
    All laws passed by the traitors should be declared void and without any force.
    NIFO
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  • Posted by $ jbrenner 8 months, 3 weeks ago
    I can't overstate the illogic of settling derivatives first in a bankruptcy. The riskiest investments should have the highest rewards, but need to be punished thoroughly when wrong.
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